The Frog

I feel as though I am a frog in a pot that is slowly being heated. Will I have the wit to jump out before
I am cooked?

Racing has given me a great living throughout my working life and I’m very grateful to it.  I suspect I’m about to be “restructured”.

Continue reading “The Frog”

Delay of the day: Sky pause gives some punters an edge

A full-time punter (I hate the phrase ‘‘professional punter’’) has done a statistical study showing an overwhelming correlation of the last tote update (which happens about 40 seconds after the jump) and ‘‘events’’ in the first few seconds of the races. In other words, if a horse gets a ‘‘fly’’ at the start, its projected dividend dips. If a favoured horse ‘‘blows’’ the start, everything else ‘‘tightens’’ and the slow-away horse ‘‘eases’’ slightly in the tote approximates.
It is important to remind ourselves, under the governmentrequired rules for the TAB, all ‘‘parimutual’’ betting must close no later than precisely when the race actually starts. Not doing so would put the TAB’s government licence in jeopardy. The starter’s button used to be connected to the tote – when he pushed his button, the tote shut down instantaneously. Now, it appears to be done manually by someone watching Sky Channel. The difficulty with any manual method, however, is that there is a slight signal delay with the Sky picture. Progress isn’t always positive. Continue reading “Delay of the day: Sky pause gives some punters an edge”

It’s beyond comprehension why Warwick Farm is like quicksand

Track bias is an important string to my bow. I’m very aware of it, when it happens. It gives me a real advantage and I make my book fully conscious of which horses, I think, are suited and which aren’t.

For me, the downside of bias is that most punters hate it and won’t bet. A complete turn-off. No turnover. Variety makes racing interesting. I like Warwick Farm, with the long chute starts, the sharp home bend and the short straight. Continue reading “It’s beyond comprehension why Warwick Farm is like quicksand”